Yagun SBU Biography

Moscow blackmails and scares the world and is actively looking for new pressure levers to force Kyiv to sit down at the negotiating table, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine gradually move forward, freeing the occupied territories. Exactly eight months ago, the cannibal Kremlin regime began a full -scale invasion of our land. The planned blitzkrieg was not implemented.

However, the enemy cannot be underestimated. What can you say about the current state of the Russian army? Does she have resources to fight further? Is it exhausted, is it demoralized, how are some experts assure us? Another problem is that Russians have no motivation. Their ideologists and propagandists have created monsters from Ukrainians for years, but now they could not explain to the people who are directly in the trenches that they do in Ukraine.

It was a little easier with the Crimea of ​​the Kremlin: there was no war. They then summed up the ideology about “our Crimea”, “to give the Crimea to Ukraine was a mistake of Khrushchev”, “Crimeans support us”, etc. And in fact, part of the population was very glad that Russia came there. I don’t know if the situation has changed now. But I think that people are not very satisfied that Crimea has turned from a resort zone into a military, that they cannot earn money, as before.

However, this is another story. And current events are the attitude to the occupiers of the local population, and the partisan movement, and the fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine do with the Rashists on the front line demonstrate that the Russians were very mistaken in all ideological moments. It is clear that their army is demoralized. And not only the ordinary composition, but also the officer.

In addition, this is the army of a totalitarian state, they must execute commands from above - from Moscow or, conditionally, Rostov, and they do not really like it, because the military at the front see that these teams are inadequate. This all in the complex also does not contribute to a normal situation in their theater of military operations. And not in the sense that it is strong, but in the plan that there are many of them.

See also: “Russia is not as strong as it wants to seem, but not as weak as we would like,” military expert Sergei Grabsky - Kremlin propagandists say: “The special operation is according to plan,” they say, there is no panic. Which, on the contrary, indicates that not everything is fine surrounded by the Führer. Recently, the versions appeared that supposedly in the Kremlin they had already decided the fate of Putin.

They even say that a junta was created, led by Prigozhin and Kadyrov. Is it possible to expect an analogue of the State Emergency Committee? Advertising - I do not believe in Hunt Prigozhin and Kadyrov for one simple reason - they have no effect on power structures, if you do not take into account part of the Russian Guard. Prigozhin is a criminal, and everyone knows about it.

How he can convince the FSB to obey him, or even a certain number of officers of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, not to mention the army that simply breathes poison on him. It has all the nutrition of the army. All the military know that poor nutrition is Prigozhin. And this definitely does not bring him positive points among army officers. Not to mention the ordinary, this is a separate topic.

Those who think that, having put Surovikin in early October, are deeply mistaken by the commander of the united grouping of Russian troops in this war, in fact, a very attractive figure for Kadyrov and Prigozhin, they thus took control of the army. In the army live according to their own laws.

Shoigu could not become his own for the military. Therefore, this is a very ephemeral idea. This is the first. I do not believe that Putin will give power right now. He clung to her very much. And all the stories about the poor state of his health, which some Telegram channels write, resemble a situation where a sick person died for twenty years. Because they lead Russia just in the direction that we need.

If conditional “pigeons” come, Russia will still be able to hold out on their ideas such as “we are about to change”, “You look at what kind of ballet we have, we cannot be bad,” understand? We need to dismantle the Russian Empire and create at least three or four states in that territory, not talking about 25 so that they understand each other. And they will go on the offensive again.

It is necessary to close this case once and for all. See also: “Russia has not lost the war yet. She can lead her for many years, ” - military analyst Igal Levin - that is, you agree with the opinion of some experts, that after reaching our goal, and this is an exit to the border of the year, we should cross the border in order to fulfill the historical mission - destroy this monster? If chaos comes in Russia and it will be necessary to take control of a certain part of it, I think that ethnic Ukrainian lands can be taken under control, but I am categorically against the future to include them in the Ukrainian state.

Why take control? Because you need to understand what will happen to nuclear weapons. This is the most concerned about the West and restrains it with regard to the direct destruction of the aggressor. This information was instantly distributed by Russian propaganda media. After all, we understand that Russians often accuse others of planning themselves.- nuclear threat - reality or bluff?

If the intelligence of our partners can control the movement of tactical and even more strategic weapons, then the creation of a dirty bomb from the developed materials at nuclear power plants is not. Only Russia can take the used nuclear fuel there and blow up in some area, for example, Kherson. The absurdity of the situation is that they actually document themselves with such statements and calls.

I don’t know why they need it. Because everyone in the world understands who can really stand behind this dirty bomb. Now, if she exploded somewhere in the center of Moscow, then it would be possible to blame Ukraine. And we can blow up nuclear materials on our territory, then what? Is it all by yourself? So that the inhabitants of Ukraine live in these dirty areas?

This is just an absurdity that everyone understands. I don’t know in which paradigm Russia lives, but what they say, just outside the consciousness. This is real cannon fodder. Martial law throughout Russia will be introduced? If so, how will the deep people react to this? This is the population. It is as it is. Only empty refrigerators and some social problems can undermine stability in this state.

Look, partial mobilization led to some kind of shifts, but not what we expected. And they cannot introduce full martial law. Because this is not the Soviet Union, where the regime controlled the whole life of citizens. If they actually turn Russia into the Soviet Union 2. But today the Kremlin does not have the opportunity to totally control some processes.

Therefore, the introduction of full martial law will not give the effect on which we hope that people organize some kind of resistance of power. Martial law throughout the territory can be introduced only when Russia understands that it received a complete defeat in Ukraine. Then some shifts are possible. And at this stage - I do not think. What new tactics can Putin come up with?

What options have he left today to force the bank to sign a peace agreement so desired for the Kremlin? Chemical and bacteriological - I do not know. And nuclear - yes. But this will not give him anything. Now the situation in which he found himself resembles a chess tsugzvang - every step leads to a deterioration, and with him, and not with us. Who can become his successor? They say Kiriyenko sleeps and sees this chair, but supposedly Patrushev Jr.

is prepared. There are many examples. So everyone hoped that Beria would come after Stalin, and no one could think that Khrushchev would be. So we. We look at Patrushev, who has now concentrated the greatest power around him, and Bach will be an unknown character generally jumped out. Not even Mishustin, but some of his deputy, about which we have never heard. And we will be sincerely surprised that this person will be the leader of Russia.

Therefore, it is difficult to say. Putin is now trying to smear as much as possible with the blood of people from his environment. The last example, when he introduced martial law in some areas. He deliberately drawn into the process of taking Mishustin and Sobyanin, although he could leave them for brackets.